CIES: Lazio have completed proper transactions for both Joaquin Correa and Felipe Anderson

Joaquin Correa
Joaquin Correa was a good deal for Lazio according to CIES

The first CIES Football Observatory weekly post of the 2018/19 season assesses squads from an economic perspective in terms of paid transfers that took place during the past summer. The fair price corresponds to the average between the estimated cost for the most likely buyer before the transfer and the current transfer value. Both figures were calculated using the exclusive CIES Football Observatory algorithm; the correlation between fees estimated and reported for players transferred for money from big-5 league teams during the last transfer window was 75%.

It highlights that Thibaut Courtois went to Real Madrid for a much lower amount than the estimated fair price (-€23 M). Conversely, Chelsea paid over the odds to recruit his substitute: Kepa Arrizabalaga (+€45 M). Rodri Hernández, Bryan Cristante, Fabinho Tavares and Clément Lenglet are alongside Thibaut Courtois in the top five for the best operations from an engaging club perspective. For Rodri and Lenglet, the existence of a release clause helped recruiting teams to sign them at a favorable price. As for Kepa Arrizabalaga, the CIES Football Observatory analysis reveals that releasing teams negotiated very well the transfers of Riyad Mahrez, Thilo Kehrer, Yerry Mina and Alex Meret.

For Lazio, CIES stated that the fair price for Joaquin Correa was 22 M but Lazio got him for just 18 M. West Ham also paid Lazio €37for Felipe Anderson, whose fair price CIES actually sets at €24,7 M, which means that Lazio according to CIES got 12,3 M more than they should have for Anderson. The Brazilian might be missed for his magic on the pitch, but his sale surely made some magic for Lazio’s books.


Best operations from an engaging club perspective [A] Reported, [B] Fair price, [C] Gap (million )


Best operations from a releasing club perspective [A] Reported, [B] Fair price, [C] Gap (million )