Matchday 9, Fiorentina 1-2 Lazio: Statistical Analysis
In Matchday 9 of the 2019/20 Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio defeated Vincenzo Montella’s Fiorentina 2-1 at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Viola.
Fiorentina vs Lazio: Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot
The diagram above summarizes every shot taken by Lazio (12 in total, 7 on target) and Fiorentina (11 in total, 3 on target) in the match. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted. A dot with a player’s name represents when a goal was scored; as pictured above, the goalscorers were Joaquin Correa (22′), Federico Chiesa (27′), and Ciro Immobile (89′). The coloured bar in the top left shows the probability of the Lazio winning the match (61%), Fiorentina winning the match (14%), or a draw occurring (24%). Better known as a summary of all simulations, the y-axis represents the cumulative xG – how many goals should be scored – and the x-axis represents time. The Biancocelesti had a cumulative xG of 1.73 and the Viola had a cumulative xG of 0.87.
Fiorentina vs Lazio: Outcome Probability Bar Chart
Each chart in the diagram above is a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals Lazio (most likely 2) and Fiorentina (most likely 0) should have scored; the colored bar is the actual number of goals the Biancocelesti (2) and the Viola (1) scored.
Fiorentina vs Lazio: Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot
The diagram above firstly shows the pass connection between players, represented by nodes. The size of each node denotes the number of touches each player has while the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of the pass connection. The direction of the connection is not shown. As seen, Lazio’s most active players on the ball were Francesco Acerbi, Stefan Radu, and Luis Alberto; Fiorentina’s most active players on the ball were Erick Pulgar, Nikola Milenkovic, Milan Badelj, and Dalbert. In addition, three main connections for Inzaghi’s men were between Acerbi-Radu, Strakosha-Acerbi, and Patric-Acerbi; three main connections for Montella’s men were between Dragowski-Milenkovic, Dalbert-Ribery, and Milenkovic-Pezzella. Secondly, this diagram shows the coordinate of where each shot was taken, plotted as dots. The size of the dot shows the xG; the bigger the dot, the higher the chance that the ball should be finding the back of the net. Colored dots represent goals. Overall, Lazio had 549 passes with an 83.1% accuracy rate while Fiorentina had 497 passes with a 77.5% accuracy rate.