Lazio 1-0 CFR Cluj: Statistical Analysis

Lazio vs Cluj, Designed by @S_K_MOORE

Lazio vs Cluj, Designed by @S_K_MOORE

In Matchday 5 of the 2019/20 UEFA Europa League, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio defeated Dan Petrescu’s CFR Cluj 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Ceferestii.

Lazio vs CFR Cluj: Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above summarizes every shot taken by Lazio (11 in total, 1 on target) and CFR Cluj (15 in total, 3 on target) in the match. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted. A dot with a player’s name represents when a goal was scored; as pictured above, the only goalscorer was Joaquin Correa (24′).

In addition, the coloured bar in the top left of the diagram shows the probability of the Lazio winning the match (17%), CFR Cluj winning the match (54%), or a draw occurring (29%).

Better known as a summary of all simulations, the y-axis represents the cumulative xG – how many goals should be scored – and the x-axis represents time. The Biancocelesti had a cumulative xG of 0.71 and the Ceferestii had a cumulative xG of 1.28.

Lazio vs CFR Cluj: Outcome Probability Bar Chart

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Each chart in the diagram above is a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals Lazio (most likely 0) and CFR Cluj (most likely 1) should have scored; the colored bar is the actual number of goals the Biancocelesti (1) and the Ceferestii (0) scored.

Lazio vs CFR Cluj: Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Lazio vs CFR Cluj, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above shows the pass connection between players, represented by nodes. The size of each node denotes the number of touches each player has while the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of the pass connection. The direction of the connection is not shown. As seen, Lazio’s most active players on the ball were Danilo Cataldi, Luis Alberto, and Denis Vavro; CFR Cluj’s most active players on the ball were Camora, Juan Emmanuel Culio, and Damjan Djokovic. In addition, the five main connections for Inzaghi’s men were between Vavro-Cataldi, Cataldi-Luis Alberto, Luis Alberto-Acerbi, Jony-Luis Alberto, Correa-Luis Alberto; the five main connections for Petrescu’s men were between Burca-Boli, Boli-Cestor, Cestor-Camora, and Camora-Culio. These aforementioned connections are outlined in light blue (Lazio) and burgundy (CFR Cluj).

In addition, this diagram shows the coordinate of where each shot was taken, plotted as dots. The size of the dot shows the xG; the bigger the dot, the higher the chance that the ball should be finding the back of the net. Colored dots represent goals. Overall, Lazio had 641 passes with an 83.2% accuracy rate while CFR Cluj had 382 passes with a 67.8% accuracy rate.

This content is part of the collaboration between The Laziali and Cheuk Hei Ho

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