Matchday 15, Lazio 3-1 Juventus: Statistical Analysis

Lazio vs Juventus
Lazio vs Juventus

In Matchday 15 of the 2019/20 Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio defeated Maurizio Sarri’s Juventus 3-1 at the Stadio Olimpico. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Bianconeri.

Lazio vs Juventus: Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot

Lazio vs Juventus, Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above summarizes every shot taken by Lazio (18 in total, 9 on target) and Juventus (9 in total, 4 on target) in the match. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted.

A dot with a player’s name represents when a goal was scored; as pictured above, the goalscorers were Cristiano Ronaldo (25′), Luiz Felipe (45+1′), Sergej Milinkovic-Savic (74′), and Felipe Caicedo (90+5′).

In addition, the colored bar in the top left of the diagram shows the probability of the Lazio winning the match (71%), Juventus winning the match (11%), or a draw occurring (18%).

Better known as a summary of all simulations, the y-axis represents the cumulative xG – how many goals should be scored – and the x-axis represents time. The Biancocelesti had a cumulative xG of 2.82 and the Bianconeri had a cumulative xG of 1.42.

Lazio vs Juventus: Outcome Probability Bar Chart

Lazio vs Juventus, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform
Lazio vs Juventus, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Each chart in the diagram above is a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals Lazio (most likely 3) and Juventus (most likely 1) should have scored; the colored bar is the actual number of goals the Biancocelesti (3) and the Bianconeri (1) scored.

Lazio vs Juventus: Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot

Lazio vs Juventus, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform
Lazio vs Juventus, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above shows the pass connection between players, represented by nodes. The size of each node denotes the number of touches each player has while the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of the pass connection. The direction of the connection is not shown.

As seen, Lazio’s most active players on the ball were Luiz Felipe, Francesco Acerbi, Stefan Radu, Luis Alberto, and Senad Lulic; Juventus’ most active players on the ball were Juan Cuadrado, Leonardo Bonucci, Matthijs de Ligt, Alex Sandro, and Miralem Pjanic.

In addition, the five main connections for Inzaghi’s men were between Strakosha-Acerbi, Luiz Felipe-Acerbi, Acerbi-Radu, Lulic-Luis Alberto, and Luis Alberto-Correa; the five main connections for Sarri’s men were between Cuadrado-Bonucci, Bonucci-de Ligt, de Ligt-Alex Sandro, and Alex Sandro-Ronaldo. These aforementioned connections are outlined in light blue (Lazio) and black (Juventus).

In addition, this diagram shows the coordinate of where each shot was taken, plotted as dots. The size of the dot shows the xG; the bigger the dot, the higher the chance that the ball should be finding the back of the net. The colored dark blue dots represent goals.

Overall, Lazio had 404 passes with an 81.7% accuracy rate while Juventus had 602 passes with an 87.9% accuracy rate.

This content is part of the collaboration between The Laziali and Cheuk Hei Ho