Cagliari 1-2 Lazio: Statistical Analysis

Cagliari vs Lazio

Cagliari vs Lazio

In Matchday 16 of the 2019/20 Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio defeated Rolando Maran’s Cagliari 2-1 at the Sardegna Arena. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Rossoblu.

Cagliari vs Lazio: Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot

Cagliari vs Lazio, Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Cagliari vs Lazio, Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above summarizes every shot taken by Lazio ( in total,  on target) and Juventus ( in total,  on target) in the match. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted.

A dot with a player’s name represents when a goal was scored; as pictured above, the goalscorers were Giovanni Simeone (8′), Luis Alberto (90+3′), and Felipe Caicedo (90+8′).

In addition, the colored bar in the top left of the diagram shows the probability of the Lazio winning the match (46%), Cagliari winning the match (28%), or a draw occurring (26%).

Better known as a summary of all simulations, the y-axis represents the cumulative xG – how many goals should be scored – and the x-axis represents time. The Biancocelesti had a cumulative xG of 1.59 and the Rossoblu had a cumulative xG of 1.20.

Cagliari vs Lazio: Outcome Probability Bar Chart

Cagliari vs Lazio, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Cagliari vs Lazio, Outcome Probability Bar Chart, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Each chart in the diagram above is a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals Lazio (most likely 1) and Cagliari (most likely 1) should have scored; the colored bar is the actual number of goals the Biancocelesti (2) and the Rossoblu (1) scored.

Cagliari vs Lazio: Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot

Cagliari vs Lazio, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

Cagliari vs Lazio, Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot, Source- @TacticsPlatform

The diagram above shows the pass connection between players, represented by nodes. The size of each node denotes the number of touches each player has while the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of the pass connection. The direction of the connection is not shown.

As seen, Lazio’s most active players on the ball were Francesco Acerbi, Luiz Felipe, Luis Alberto, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, and Manuel Lazzari; Cagliari’s most active players on the ball were Fabrizio Cacciatore, Luca Cigarini, Charalampos Lykogiannis, Radja Nainggolan, and Rafael.

In addition, the five main connections for Inzaghi’s men were between Radu-Acerbi, Acerbi-Luis Alberto, Acerbi-Luiz Felipe, Luiz Felipe-Lazzari, Lazzari-Milinkovic; the five main connections for Maran’s men were between Rafael-Klavan, Klavan-Lykogiannis, Lykogiannis-Ionita, and Cacciatore-Nainggolan. These aforementioned connections are outlined in light blue (Lazio) and dark blue (Cagliari).

In addition, this diagram shows the coordinate of where each shot was taken, plotted as dots. The size of the dot shows the xG; the bigger the dot, the higher the chance that the ball should be finding the back of the net. The colored dark blue dots represent goals.

Overall, Lazio had 588 passes with an 79.9% accuracy rate while Cagliari had 378 passes with a 74.6% accuracy rate.

This content is part of the collaboration between The Laziali and Cheuk Hei Ho

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