Matchday 18, Brescia 1-2 Lazio: Statistical Analysis
In Matchday 18 of the 2019/20 Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio defeated Eugenio Corini’s Brescia 2-1 at the Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Biancazzurri.
Brescia vs Lazio: Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot
The diagram above summarizes every shot taken by Lazio (19 in total, 6 on target) and Brescia (6 in total, 3 on target) in the match. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted.
A dot with a player’s name represents when a goal was scored; as pictured above, the goalscorers were Mario Balotelli (18′) and Ciro Immobile (42′, 90+1′).
In addition, the colored bar in the top left of the diagram shows the probability of the Lazio winning the match (79%), Brescia winning the match (5%), or a draw occurring (16%).
Better known as a summary of all simulations, the y-axis represents the cumulative xG – how many goals should be scored – and the x-axis represents time. The Biancocelesti had a cumulative xG of 2.08 and the Biancazzurri had a cumulative xG of 0.53.
Brescia vs Lazio: Outcome Probability Bar Chart
Each chart in the diagram above is a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals Lazio (most likely 2) and Brescia (most likely 0) should have scored; the colored bar is the actual number of goals the Biancocelesti (2) and the Biancazzurri (1) scored.
Brescia vs Lazio: Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot
The diagram above shows the pass connection between players, represented by nodes. The size of each node denotes the number of touches each player has while the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of the pass connection. The direction of the connection is not shown.
As seen, Lazio’s most active players on the ball were Francesco Acerbi, Luiz Felipe, Joaquin Correa, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, and Manuel Lazzari; Brescia’s most active players on the ball were Ales Mateju, Romulo, Stefano Sabelli, Sandro Tonali, and Jhon Chancellor.
In addition, the five main connections for Inzaghi’s men were between Radu-Acerbi, Radu-Correa, Acerbi-Luiz Felipe, Luiz Felipe-Milinkovic, Milinkovic-Lazzari; the five main connections for Corini’s men were between Chancellor-Mateju, Mateju-Sabelli, Sabelli-Bisoli, Mangraviti-Romulo, Romulo-Balotelli. These aforementioned connections are outlined in light blue (Lazio) and blue (Brescia).
In addition, this diagram shows the coordinate of where each shot was taken, plotted as dots. The size of the dot shows the xG; the bigger the dot, the higher the chance that the ball should be finding the back of the net. The colored dark blue dots represent goals.
Overall, Lazio had 602 passes with an 84.2% accuracy rate while Brescia had 354 passes with a 76.6% accuracy rate.