In Matchday 30 of the 2019/20 Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio were defeated by Stefano Pioli’s Milan 3-0 at the Stadio Olimpico. Below, a statistical analysis of the game between the Biancocelesti and the Rossoneri.

### Expected Goals (xG) Step Plot

The diagram above represents a summary of all simulations. The y-axis represents the cumulative xG (how many goals should be scored) and the x-axis represents time.

• Lazio: cumulative xG of 0.36
• Milan: cumulative xG of 1.75

In addition, the diagram above summarizes every shot taken by each club. Each shot is represented by a step and the height of the step measures the xG outcome of that shot; the higher the step, the more likely that the shot taken should have been converted.

• Lazio: 8 total shots, 2 shots on target
• Milan: 8 total shots, 5 shot on target

Furthermore, a dot with a name on the ‘Expected Goals Step Plot’ represents when a goal was scored and who the goal was scored by.

• Goalscorers (in order): Calhanolgu, Ibrahimovic (PK), Rebic

Finally, the colored bar in the top left of the diagram shows the probability of each club winning the match or a draw occurring.

• Lazio: 4%
• Milan: 80%
• Draw: 16%.

### Outcome Probability Bar Chart

The charts in the diagram above are a summary of a 10,000-time simulation of the probability of how many goals each side should have scored and the actual number of goals each side scored.

• Lazio: most likely to score 0 goals, actually scored 0 goals
• Milan: most likely to score 2 goals, actually scored 3 goal

### Pass Network Plot & Shot Location Plot

The diagram above firstly shows the number of passes completed by each side in the match.

• Lazio: 550 passes with a 79.6% accuracy rate
• Milan: 608 passes with an 85.4% accuracy rate

Secondly, the diagram outlines the most active players for each team. Each player is represented by a node; the size of each node denotes the number of touches each player had.

• Lazio’s most active players on the ball: Acerbi, Radu, Patric, Parolo, Lazzari
• Milan’s most active players on the ball: Romagnoli, Kjaer, Theo Hernandez, Kessie, Bennacer

Thirdly, the diagram indicates the pass connections between teammates. These connections are the shaded grey lines throughout the plots; the size and shade of the line between players indicates the frequency of a pass connection. It is important to note that the direction of each connection is not shown. These connections are outlined in light blue (Lazio) and red (Milan).