Lazio vs Milan | Serie A Preview | Form Guide, Key Trends & Betting Odds

Lazio host Milan at the Stadio Olimpico in a Serie A Matchday 27 showdown. The Rossoneri will hope to go within a point of second-place Juventus in the standings, while Lazio will look to rebound following a tough loss to Fiorentina to put them back in sight of the top-five.

Kick-Off Time, Location & How to Watch

The match between Lazio and Milan kicks off at 20:45 local time on Friday 1st March at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

To find out how to watch Lazio vs Milan in your respective country, check out this verified list of international TV listings.

Lazio vs Milan: Form Guide

Lazio have been all over the place lately, losing two of their last three matches (1-2 against Bologna and a 0-2 win versus Torino). Unfortunately, the celebration was cut short by a 2-1 loss to Fiorentina.

Maurizio Sarri has struggled for domestic consistently all season long, and February 2024 has not been different, with three of Lazio’s last six Serie A matches being played at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, they have still managed just a 50% win rate during this stretch – scoring six goals while allowing five, with one draw and two losses on home turf.

Solace can be found in their Champions League journey; however, an impressive 1-0 success over Munich was a valiant effort ahead of their second leg with the German giants next week.

Lazio: Previous 6 Matches

26.02.2024 Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio Serie A
22.02.2024 Torino 0-2 Lazio Serie A
18.02.2024 Lazio 1-2 Bologna Serie A
14.02.2024 Lazio 1-0 Bayern Munich UCL
10.02.2024 Cagliari 1-3 Lazio Serie A
04.02.2024 Atalanta 3-1 Lazio Serie A

Meanwhile, Milan are a mere point away from being empty-handed in their last three matches, falling 4-2 to Monza and 3-2 to Rennes. Fortunately, in their most recent game, they managed to secure a 1-1 draw against Atalanta, providing some comfort. Still, in the long run, the form must take a turn if they want to consider challenging their rivals Inter for the Serie A crown.

Milan has won three out of their most recent six away day meetings in the Serie A, drawing one and losing the other two. Notably, goals have been aplenty, scoring 15 and conceding 13 goals during this stretch.

Milan: Previous 6 Matches

25.02.2024 Milan 1-1 Atalanta Serie A
22.02.2024 Stade Rennais 3-2 Milan UEL
18.02.2024 Monza 4-2 Milan Serie A
15.02.2024 Milan 3-0 Stade Rennais UEL
11.02.2024 Milan 1-0 Napoli Serie A
03.02.2024 Frosinone 2-3 Milan Serie A

Lazio vs Milan: Key Trends 

  • Lazio are unbeaten in 9 of their previous 11 Serie A home fixtures
  • Milan are unbeaten in 40 of their previous 47 clashes with Lazio
  • Milan have scored at least two goals in 8 consecutive Serie A away games
  • Milan have scored at least one goal in 15 straight Serie A meetings
  • Lazio lost both domestic meetings with Milan during the 2022/23 season
  • Lazio has lost just 2 of their last 17 home fixtures in all competitions
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in 10 of Lazio’s previous 13 home games in all competitions

Lazio vs Milan: Head-to-Head 

30.09.2023 Milan 2-0 Lazio Serie A
06.05.2023 Milan 2-0 Lazio Serie A
24.01.2023 Lazio 4-0 Milan Serie A
24.04.2022 Lazio 1-2 Milan Serie A
09.02.2022 Milan 4-0 Lazio Coppa Italia
12.09.2021 Milan 4-2 Lazio Serie A

Lazio vs Milan: The Betting Odds 

Unsurprisingly, the best online UK betting sites are torn in their pricing, and while Milan is favoured to win the game, plus-money offerings can be found on either team to win the game outright.

There is undoubtedly some betting value to be found in this top-of-the-table clash. Still, as inconsistent form has plagued both teams in recent weeks, it is advisable to look beyond the moneyline market to discover more probable outcomes and betting potential.

  • Lazio: 49/20
  • Draw: 12/5
  • Milan: 13/10

Lazio vs Milan: Prediction 

Winless in three consecutive games, Milan is riding the worst stretch of form they have encountered since October 2023. As Inter Milan are starting to separate themselves from the chasing Serie A title pack at the summit, a dip in performance could not have arrived at a worse time for Stefano Pioli and his Rossoneri unit. Luckily for the Milan faithful, Lazio is in a similar position and has notably performed worse than their Friday night opponents this term, as 13 points separate these teams in the standings.

Milan secured just two victories without allowing any goals in their last 10 encounters, while Lazio has scored in three successive home encounters with Milan. Goals at both ends have flowed for both sides of late, and while the home advantage makes the Lazio double chance market (win or draw) an intriguing wager, backing goals at both ends feels like the safest approach when predicting an outcome for this clash.

  • Best Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 6/7
  • Best Betting Value: Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10
  • Score Prediction: 2-2
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